Friday, August 16, 2019

A Voluntary Delisting


The recent announcement by Travellers International Hotel Group, Inc. (PSE: RWM), the operator of entertainment-gaming complex Resorts World Manila that it would voluntarily delist from the Philippine Stock Exchange surely raised a few eyebrows. Most of us have come to think of delisting as something bad, something done by, or more commonly TO, companies that are in trouble. Indeed, probably the two most common reasons for a company listed on the PSE to be delisted are: 1) business is so bad that there remains little public interest in its stock, and its public float (i.e. proportion of shares held by the public) has gone under the minimum level required by the Exchange; and 2) the company has somehow found itself "unwelcome" by the Exchange, usually due to the actions of its officers and/or majority owners.

However, there are various legitimate reasons why even healthy and robust companies may choose to delist. Below I will enumerate three of these reasons. I emphasize that these are general reasons that may or may not apply specifically to RWM. It is up to the reader to ultimately decide on RWM's reasons and motivations.

But first, some basics: what does it mean when a company delists or is delisted from an Exchange? Simply put, the company is removed from the roster of stocks that are traded on that Exchange. Ownership tends to be reduced to a much smaller number of parties because the general public will no longer have easy access to the company's shares. Additionally, without the liquidity, infrastructure, and attendant safeguards provided by an organized exchange, the general public will also have much less interest in ownership in the company. But wait, before that happens, what happens to all the existing owners whose stakes were gained by buying shares in the stock exchange? The company is required to conduct what is called a tender offer to buy back their shares at a fair price. While an investor may choose not to participate in said offer and to hold on to his shares and remain an owner, this is usually not too desirable, especially for the smaller investor, because as the company comes to be dominated by a few majority owners, the small investor will have no easy way to get information, will have practically no voice in management decisions, and will have no easy way to liquidate his shareholdings if he wakes up one day and decides that is what he wishes to do. The net effect of all these is that in short, once a company delists, it will usually become primarily a privately-held corporation (i.e. collectively owned by a few) instead of a publicly-held one (i.e. collectively owned by many). As with most things in life, there are advantages and disadvantages to being a privately-held company instead of a publicly-held one. The main disadvantage is that if and when the company needs to raise capital, it must now rely on a much smaller pool of investor-owners. As money is always important, this is a significant disadvantage to the privately-held company. Still, conditions do exist wherein being a privately-held company may be deemed desirable by the majority owners, and below we will take a look at a few of them -

1. Business is Extremely Good, but not Necessarily Growing

Let's say your business is going great, but you do not think you will have much room to expand - perhaps you operate in a mature market where the lucrative market segments are no longer growing; or perhaps the government has become less friendly to your industry; or perhaps the environment has become increasingly challenging. You will now find yourself in a position wherein you are awash in yesterday's and today's profits, but do not see opportunities to put those profits to work for tomorrow. What do you do then? One thing you could do is to eliminate some owners, return their capital to them, since these are not needed anymore, as you have more than enough retained earnings to serve as capital. This may, to some, sound heartless. You invited these investors in when you needed them (by listing your company at the Exchange in the first place) then cut them loose when they, or more accurately, their capital, became expendable. Unfortunately however, this is how capitalism is meant to work, and I mean that in the best way possible. Capital should always be seeking out its most efficient use, so when you no longer have a good use for capital, you should liberate it.

2. You Feel the Stock Market is Undervaluing your Stock

The price of a company's shares in the stock market - its market price - is the end result of thousands of trades, so effectively, it reflects how the investing public values the shares; which is to say that if more people felt that the shares ought to be trading at a higher price, then they would be more willing to buy and less willing to sell, thus driving the price higher; and vice versa. In short, the price at which a stock trades is a clear reflection of how both buyers and sellers value it. In fact, a trade only results if both sides can come to a agreement as to what that value is. Sometimes, a small group of owners, usually the majority owners who have the best view of the company's prospects, may feel the company's shares have been trading for a prolonged period at a price they deem to be too low relative to the company's true value. The fact that the stock has been trading at that level for a prolonged period tells them that the investing public, "the market at large", deems that price to be correct. But they themselves deem it too low. Rather than trying to convince thousands, perhaps even millions, of market participants - arguably an impossible task - what this small group of owners may choose to do is to buy up all the stock and take the company private. Put another way, it is as if they saying "ok fine, if this low price is what you believe our stock to be worth, then by golly we will buy everything and prove you wrong. We'd be buying a great company at a discount." In a way, it's the same act of returning capital and reducing owners but with a different twist - this time, in a very real sense, the remaining owners reduce owners because they feel that these owners do not fully appreciate the value of what they have been given the opportunity to own. (People might not necessarily think of these transactions in exactly those slightly melodramatic terms, but if you think about it, that is exactly what their actions mean at the end of the day.)

These "buy-outs", as what they effectively are, become even all the more feasible when interest rates are low, because then the group doing the buying out can even go out and borrow cash if they do not have enough equity themselves to do a buy-out. While debt is a more dangerous form of capital because one cannot delay interest payments in the same way that one can delay dividends, if the stock price is low enough and therefore attractive enough, then at some point replacing equity with debt becomes tenable.

As a small side note, in the late 80s and early 90s, with the US stock market depressed, the Leveraged Buy-Out came into vogue. Stock prices of some good companies were deemed too low that financial entrepreneurs were encouraged to borrow money and buy enough stock in the open market to gain control of good and valuable companies. As equity was replaced by debt, companies were forced to cut costs, become more efficient, and in the end become even more valuable. This is actually what Gordon Gekko meant when he uttered his cult-favorite line "Greed is Good." I feel that the line has been over-simplified through the years. He was actually espousing a more complex view that what starts out as greed, ultimately serves to provide the incentive for efficiency and the increase of economic value.

But I digress, as I often do..


3. Your Business Operates in an Environment which Requires Quick Decisions and Quick Actions
  
One of the primary reasons a company goes public is to raise capital from a large pool of investors - the "public". Having a large number of "owners", has both pros and cons. One of the disadvantages is that the company might not be able to move quickly, as major changes would require concurrence and approval from the same large number of "owners". At some point, a company might feel that the challenges in its business environment require that it be able to move more quickly, and perhaps with more discretion, than would be practicable while having many "owners" to report to, and in cases such as these a company might willfully choose to go private.

So, as far RWM specifically, or any stock that is going through voluntary delisting for that matter, what should a PSE investor who owns the stock do? Actually, there aren't that many options - the most practical thing to do is to participate in the tender offer and get cash in return for your shares. If you have so much confidence in the future of Resorts World Manila that you would like to go on owning shares of stock in the company, then by all means hold on to your shares. The delisting does not render the shares worthless, you would still have a valid claim over a piece, however big or small, over the company. What the delisting does extinguish is your ability to quickly sell your stake if you decide to. Like a true owner, you would be in it for the long haul. If Resorts World Manila makes so much money and pays out big dividends, then good for you. But keep in mind that if Resorts World Manila decides to use those profits to expand in a direction you don't like, there's not much you would be able to do about it, and no easy way to liquidate your stake. Your financial fortunes from this particular investment will be inextricably linked to the company, as a true owner's would.  


  

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

That Lady in Red, Explained

One of the great things about social media is that the mere act of going through one's feeds ascertains that one will usually not be left too uninformed about current trends. Well, beginning one or two weeks ago, I began to notice pictures of this lady in red, with a red suitcase, showing up on my feed, usually in memes or similar instruments of comedic effect. It wasn't until last Monday, when the image below crossed my feed, that my interest was really piqued:


Okay, so upon some research, the original lady in red pulling a red suitcase is Daniela Mondragon, a lead character in an ABS-CBN teleserye with the title Kadenang Ginto played by actress Dimples Romana. Apparently, in a scene from the show's current season, Daniela found herself dressed to the nines, fully accessorized and color-coordinated, but walking along a busy street in a working-class neighborhood, and the internet went crazy.

I could be wrong, but from how I understand things, it isn't even important exactly why she found herself in that situation, Filipino netizens simply loved the disconnect between her attire and her circumstances - and I'm fascinated by the question of why exactly that is..

Let's face it, there's something about scenes like the one described above that touch a chord within our collective national psyche. Just a month or two ago, I was discussing cheap luggage with a friend of mine. We were imagining a woman, otherwise expensively dressed and walking imperiously through an airport terminal, suddenly have someone chase after her with a wheel that had fallen off from the luggage she was pulling; we both had a good laugh out of that. I also remember a gathering I was at, years ago, where someone talked about how good the "Cliffhouse" sandwich was at UCC Cafe. Someone else then pointed out that the former probably meant the "Cliffhanger", which, in fact, he did. Immediately, a third person thanked the second person for the correction, stating that she would hate to be in the position of being at UCC, and ordering the "Cliffhouse" in a somewhat snooty tone, only to be told that there is no such thing. Everybody cracked up.

I don't know exactly why we find so much humor in such situations. Mabenta so to speak. Is it because we are fascinated by the financial ups and downs of people's lives and are much titillated when we encounter evidence of lifestyle inconsistencies? Is it because we dislike social climbers and celebrate gleefully when we see them meet a comeuppance we feel they rightfully deserve? Is it because we all remember occasions  of being slightly embarrassed when we need to dress up formally and therefore have a need to make light of such instances? Is it because we daydream of a world that we deem beyond our reach and thereby choose to just joke about the unattainable? I really don't know, perhaps it's a little of all of the above.

I do think that whatever the reason, or the combination of reasons, it does hint upon an inferiority complex we all share, borne out of being part of the Third World. I think we've all been conditioned to believe, and instinctively assume, that people in general will always try to seem more affluent than they really are, and so we find it hilarious when we feel such "projections" have gone awry.     

 

Monday, July 1, 2019

Schnitzel with Noodles

Cream-colored ponies and crisp apple strudels
Doorbells and sleigh bells
And schnitzel with noodles
Wild geese that fly with the moon on their wings
These are a few of my favorite things


This is meant to be an ever-expanding post containing my favorite foods. I've gone to great lengths not to use the word "best" so please don't give me a hard time. 😉 Taste is such a subjective, personal thing under the best of circumstances; and experience has also taught me that mine are not exactly similar to the majority, usually..


FAVORITE WINGS : Buffalo's Wings N' Things


THE WHY : First, the weird of it.. I take my buffalo wings without the sauce/dip that they are meant to be tossed in. If you tell me that it is therefore not Buffalo wings that I like but just plain fried chicken wings, I would agree totally. A BWNT wing, even with the sauce set aside, is seasoned in and of itself, and the amount of coating is perfect for my tastes. Lastly, the ligaments are all there, perfect for me to chew on and savor.


FAVORITE COOKIE : Mo's (also known as the Mess Hall Cookie)   


THE WHY : I couldn't tell you why because I don't know why. I only know that for me, as far as cookies are concerned, there's Mo's and then there's the rest.


FAVORITE PALABOK : Susie's
 

THE WHY : I'm not certain about the exact difference between Pancit Palabok v Pancit Malabon v Pancit Luglug. I think Malabon usually has thick noodles that are cooked in the sauce and topped with seafood. Palabok is on the other end of the spectrum, thin noodles that are only boiled and then topped with the sauce and some variant of pork. Luglug falls somewhere in between, more similar to Palabok but with thicker noodles, though not as thick as Malabon. Susie's serves Palabok and Malabon. I like their palabok very much because the thickness and firmness of the noodles are perfect for me. Come to think of it, the thickness of Susie's Palabok Noodles are probably more Luglug than Palabok, but Palabok is what they call it.


FAVORITE ICE CREAM : Baskin Robbins 

THE WHY : Because it's not too creamy. That's probably a statement of weirdness right there because there's "cream" in the name "ice cream", and I know that premium ice cream brands talk up how creamy they are, so most people must appreciate the creaminess.

But well, like I've said previously in some other shape or form: Shoot me.

A piece of trivia, in Japan Baskin Robbins is mostly referred to as "31 Ice Cream". The obvious probable reason being that 31 is much easier to remember for a non-english speaker than "Baskin Robbins" or even "Baskin". So even though there are literally thousands of Baskin Robbins branches in the Land of the Rising Sun, never look for it by name. Look for "31 Ice Cream".


FAVORITE FRIED CALAMARI : Chili's

Like everything else at Chili's, the fried calamari is priced a bit on the high side relative to the value proposition of this particular restaurant. This shouldn't take away from the fact that it's pretty good, and what I really appreciate is the consistency. With some smaller restaurants sometimes you can't be quite sure what you're getting, I guess it's not exactly easy to source calamari regularly. So I've noticed that sometimes you can get calamari, sometimes you get squid, sometimes you get large squid (lumot) and sometimes even cuttlefish. At Chili's, probably because it's a large chain and has stricter rules governing it's purchasing and sourcing and a more stable supply chain, you almost always get exactly what you thought you'd be getting when you order. Since my tastes are pretty bland, the vanilla-variety tartar sauce is perfect for me, and you do get a slice of lime that can give you a tinge of flavor that you can control precisely to your preference.




FAVORITE BOLA-BOLA SIOPAO : Emerald

This is not to be confused with its more famous celebrity cousin, the Emerald Siopao. The legendary Emerald Siopao is more than twice as large as this, has other ingredients like sliced asado, chicken strips, and of course, a section of boiled egg in there somewhere. However, what I have come to realize through the years is that after all is said and done, the best part is really the ground pork mixture that we have come to know as bola-bola. (it's called that probably because it is, essentially, a meat ball). Emerald's has a distinct flavor that I could identify even with my eyes closed. I couldn't say the same for the other ingredients of the Emerald siopao like the asado and the chicken strips, which, if I may say so, are fairly ordinary; so for the past few years I've come to prefer the bola-bola siopao. It allows me to focus on the best part. 😃